The Redistribution Gap — What a Universal Dividend Would Cost, and the Cliff You Fall To

Gap = dividend − labour-tax take · closed by a tax on capital income

gap opens labour take covers OECD · World Bank ↗

The terminal instrument. FN-002 showed the labour tax base decoupling; FN-003 showed capital taking the surplus. Here is the consequence: as labour’s share falls, a universal dividend’s funding gap must come from capital — and the same dividend that softens your household’s fall widens that gap. A projection, not a costed policy; read the notes below the model.

Country

Universal dividend · $12,000 / adult / yr

The state’s gap — can a dividend be funded?

Your cliff — the floor you fall to

Household income / yr ($)

Adults

Dependents

All six — capital tax to close the gap, at this dividend